We’re already to Week 6, and with each passing week, we get a greater and higher learn on every crew. Nonetheless, accidents and climate can throw your evaluation for a loop, and Girl Luck is all the time looming to interject herself into the proceedings.
Maybe Girl Luck shall be in your facet this week within the FOX Bet Super 6 NFL Challenge, the place you might have an opportunity to win $100,000 of Terry Bradshaw’s cash completely free of charge! All you must do is download the FOX Bet Super 6 app (if you have not already), enter Sunday’s contest and make your picks on which crew will win and by what number of factors in six NFL Week 6 video games.
That will help you get to the pay window, listed below are my ideas on this week’s Super 6 games, with all NFL odds through FOX Wager.
Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears (1 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX)
Are the Bears good?
The report says 3-2, however the stats say in any other case. They’re useless final in web yards per play (-1.46) and received overwhelmed by two prime groups (the Rams and Browns) on the highway. Even if you happen to toss out the Rams end result, as Andy Dalton was the QB, the Bears don’t have one offensive lineman ranked within the prime 10 at his place, RB David Montgomery is on IR, and, oh yeah – Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have dominated the Bears, successful 4 straight and 9 of 10.
Chicago’s solely edge is on the line of defense, the place Robert Quinn and Khalil Mack could cause main issues for an overachieving group of a number of backups on the Packers OL. And Inexperienced Bay’s run protection has been horrible (29th in DVOA), masked solely by the greatness of Rodgers (because the opener, anyway).
If the Bears can get an early lead and experience their backup working backs, possibly they will maintain it shut. In any other case, Rodgers continues his dominance of his divisional foes.
PICK: Packers to win by 7-9 factors
Los Angeles Rams @ New York Giants (1 p.m. ET, FOX)
The Giants are strolling wounded, and also you’ll need to verify damage stories all week on the numerous stars who may not go well with up Sunday at house. Saquon Barkley (ankle) is certainly out, whereas QB Daniel Jones, WR Kenny Golladay and WR Kadarius Toney are all iffy. Toss in two different receivers, and also you marvel how the Giants can rating to maintain up with the Rams. The Rams are third in web yards per play; New York is 17th.
It needs to be famous the Rams hosted the Giants final 12 months as 13.5-point favorites and barely prevailed (17-9) with out overlaying the unfold. Sean McVay’s Rams generally tend to play all the way down to their opponents, going 0-Four of their final 4 towards the unfold versus a crew with a shedding report.
However New York has struggled big-time at house, together with 0-2 ATS this 12 months with two outright losses, and now they doubtless can have Mike Glennon at QB. This appears like a sport the place the Giants might come near successful one for coach Joe Decide, who’s on the new seat … or they get blown out large time, sealing his destiny.
PICK: Rams to win by 22+ factors
Minnesota Vikings @ Carolina Panthers (1 p.m. ET, FOX)
This is without doubt one of the most vital video games of the week, because the loser has a large uphill climb to the playoffs – and for Mike Zimmer, that might imply the tip of his run in Minnesota.
Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook are each anticipated to return from damage in what figures to be a low-scoring sport with a lot at stake. When the stress has been on versus Dallas and Philadelphia, Sam Darnold has struggled within the second half, sorely lacking C-Mac and forcing throws (tied for first in INTs underneath stress with 4). All six of Darnold’s interceptions this season have come since McCaffrey has been injured. Count on 30+ carries for Carolina and the entire verify downs from Darnold to keep away from errors.
The Vikings have been woefully inconsistent on offense this season, and final 12 months towards the Panthers wanted 18 fourth-quarter factors to rally at house for a last-minute victory. The matchup to observe shall be Carolina CB Donte Jackson towards elite WR Justin Jefferson (sixth in receptions, sixth in yards).
If Carolina LB Shaq Thompson returns, the Panthers ought to be capable of do sufficient defensively to include Cook dinner once more (18-61 final 12 months, no carries over 15 yards) to win. They sorely missed their main tackler within the center making an attempt to corral elusive QB Jalen Hurts final week within the crimson zone.
PICK: Panthers to win by 3-Four factors
Cincinnati Bengals @ Detroit Lions (1 p.m. ET, FOX)
The unfortunate Lions have misplaced two video games on area targets of over 50 yards within the last seconds, each in domes. How a lot heartbreak can a crew endure? Dan Campbell has the Lions preventing, however cluster accidents at WR and on the OL are taking their toll – the Lions have already got seven starters on injured reserve.
The Bengals have fared effectively within the underdog position, with outright wins over the Vikings and Steelers. Being the favourite as an alternative is an odd position for Cincinnati; we noticed the Bengals almost lose to the Jaguars two weeks in the past as large favorites.
The Lions had been lit up by Justin Jefferson final week (7 catches, 124 yards), and now face potential offensive rookie of the 12 months in Ja’Marr Chase, who simply torched the Packers. But the Bengals have had points defending Joe Burrow, as he took eight QB hits and three sacks towards the Packers, and ended up within the hospital after the sport.
The Bengals are the higher crew, there’s no query about that. But when the Lions are going to steal a win, this may be the spot to do it.
PICK: Lions to win by 1-2 factors
Los Angeles Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)
The Ravens, who’re coming off a brief week wherein they wanted late heroics (once more!) to beat a 22-Three deficit towards the lowly Colts, have been very lucky late to get wins towards the Chiefs, Lions and Indianapolis.
LA’s lone loss was to the Cowboys, a sport wherein they didn’t punt however solely went 1-for-Four within the crimson zone. They’re 4-1 and may be the most effective crew within the AFC regardless of dealing with 4 groups that at the moment have a successful report.
Is the appropriate crew favored right here?
That is LA’s first time seeing Lamar Jackson because the January 2019 playoff sport wherein the Chargers sacked Jackson seven occasions in an upset. LA went with six defensive backs to include Jackson’s working velocity, and it labored, leading to an upset.
Jackson is a a lot better passer now, although, as evidenced by his 37-of-43, 442-yard effort towards the Colts on MNF. He’s fourth within the NFL in yards per try, by far the most effective of his profession. He’s been helped by rising WR Marquise Brown (28 catches, 451 yards, 5 TDs).
PICK: Chargers to win by 1-2 factors
Seattle Seahawks @ Pittsburgh Steelers (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC)
Seattle went from being favored on this sport with Russell Wilson to being appreciable underdogs on the highway with Geno Smith at quarterback. Wilson has lined up a whole lot of Seattle warts in his profession. Two years in the past at Heinz Subject, Wilson was almost good (29-of-35, Three TDs) in a victory the place Seattle rang up 425 yards of whole offense. No shot Smith duplicates that.
And now Smith should face a Steelers protection that ranks fifth in stress fee whereas being backside 10 within the NFL in blitz proportion. Wilson was on tempo to be sacked probably the most occasions in his profession earlier than the finger damage despatched him to the sideline for a few month. That bodes poorly for Smith.
The 2021 Steelers aren’t superb, and have accidents of their very own – WR JuJu Smith-Schuster is out for the season – however the offensive line performed its finest sport of the season versus Denver. Rookie Najee Harris rushed for 122 yards, and it makes you marvel if the Seahawks are in large hassle right here with a porous protection that received lit up final Thursday by the Rams offense (7.1 yards per play).
Determined Seattle will most likely transfer Jamal Adams into the field in an effort to create havoc, since he’s such a legal responsibility in protection. He has generated Zero pressures and Zero QB hits in 2021 up to now.
PICK: Steelers to win by 7-9 factors
JASON MCINTYRE’S WEEK 6 SUPER 6 PICKS
Packers to win by 7-9 factors
Rams to win by 22+ factors
Panthers to win by 3-Four factors
Lions to win by 1-2 factors
Chargers to win by 1-2 factors
Steelers to win by 7-9 factors
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Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports activities betting analyst, and he additionally writes in regards to the NFL and NBA Draft. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared on each present on the community. In 2017, McIntyre started producing playing content material on the NFL, school soccer and NBA for FOX Sports activities. He had a playing podcast for FOX, “Coming Up Winners,” in 2018 and 2019. Earlier than arriving at FOX, he created the web site The Massive Lead, which he bought in 2010.
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