Bhubaneswar: The melancholy over southwest and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal (BoB) intensified right into a deep melancholy over southwest BoB after which additional right into a cyclonic storm ‘Nivar’ Tuesday morning. At 0830 hours at the moment, it lay centred over southwest BoB about 410km east-southeast of Puducherry and 450km southeast of Chennai. Reviews recommend that the cyclonic storm could be very more likely to intensify additional right into a extreme cyclonic storm in the course of the subsequent 24 hours.
As per the most recent climate bulletin of the IMD issued within the afternoon, it is vitally more likely to transfer west-north-westwards for the following 12 hours after which north-westwards. It is rather more likely to cross Tamil Nadu and Puducherry coasts between Karaikal and Mamallapuram round Puducherry within the night of November 25 (tomorrow) as a extreme cyclonic storm with a wind pace of 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph.
Forecast and warnings for Odisha in affiliation with this technique:
The Regional MeT Centre has clearly said that Nivar Cyclone may have no direct impression over the districts of Odisha neither there may be any warning for the State. Nonetheless, some gentle to reasonable rainfall exercise is more likely to happen in some districts of Odisha within the subsequent two days.
On November 25, gentle to reasonable rainfall or thundershower could be very doubtless at just a few locations over Malkangiri, Rayagada, Gajapati, Koraput, Ganjam and at remoted locations over remainder of the districts. Nearly comparable predictions have been seen for November 26. Gentle to reasonable rainfall or thundershower could be very doubtless at many locations over the aforementioned districts in southern Odisha and at remoted locations over remainder of the districts.
Fishermen are suggested to not enterprise into deep sea areas of southwest and adjoining West-central Bay of Bengal until November 25.
What impression will Nivar have on different coastal States?
WIND SPEED: As per the prediction, the present wind pace would additional improve to 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph over the southwest Bay of Bengal from November 25 morning for the following 18 hours. Squally wind pace reaching 30-40 kmph gusting to 50 kmph is prevailing alongside and off Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and adjoining South Andhra Pradesh coast and over Gulf of Mannar. It’s going to steadily improve and contact 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph alongside and off coastal districts of north Tamil Nadu and Puducherry (Nagapattinam, Karaikal, Myladuthurai, Cuddalore, Puducherry, Villupuram and Chengalpattu districts). Wind pace of 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph could be very doubtless over Tiruvarur, Kanchipuram, Chennai, Tiruvallaur districts throughout forenoon to the night time of November 25. Gale wind pace reaching 65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph could be very doubtless over adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal and alongside and off South Andhra Pradesh (Nellore and Chittoor districts), Gulf of Mannar and alongside and off districts of south coastal districts of Tamil Nadu throughout forenoon to the night time of Nov 25.
DAMAGE EXPECTED OVER COASTAL DISTRICTS OF TN, PUDUCHERRY AND ADJOINING ANDHRA PRADESH:
Below the impression of the cyclone Nivar, main harm shall be precipitated to thatched homes and huts with a chance of rooftops being blown off, unattached steel sheets may additionally fly. Additionally it is anticipated that Nirva would possibly trigger harm to energy and communication strains. This aside, main harm to Kutcha and a few harm to Pucca roads is predicted. Furthermore, flooding of escape routes, breaking of tree branches, uprooting of enormous avenue timber, extreme harm to banana and papaya timber, horticulture and crops and orchards, main harm to coastal crops and harm to embankments/ salt pans may very well be precipitated.
SEA CONDITION: Sea situation is excessive over Southwest Bay of Bengal and tough to very tough alongside and off Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, south Andhra Pradesh coasts and over Gulf of Mannar. It might steadily change into very excessive over the southwest Bay of Bengal tonight. The ocean situation can be very excessive over the southwest and adjoining west-central Bay of Bengal and alongside and off north Tamil Nadu, Puducherry coasts and excessive alongside and off south Tamil Nadu and south Andhra Pradesh coasts and likewise over Gulf of Mannar on November 25.
STORM SURGE WARNING: Tidal wave of about one mt peak above the astronomical tide could be very more likely to inundate the low mendacity areas of north coastal districts of Tamilnadu and Puducherry close to the place of landfall.
WARNING FOR FISHERMEN: There shall be a complete suspension of fishing operations, as such fishermen are suggested to not enterprise into Southwest and adjoining west-central and the southeast Bay of Bengal, Gulf of Mannar and alongside and off Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and south Andhra Pradesh coasts throughout November 24-25. These fishermen already out at sea are suggested to return to the coast and keep away from the talked about sea areas. Coastal hutment dwellers shall be moved to safer locations whereas folks within the areas more likely to be affected have been requested to stay indoors.