New Delhi: The deep despair within the Arabian Sea strengthened right into a cyclonic storm ‘Nisarga’ on Tuesday morning and can make landfall near Alibag, 94 kms south of Mumbai on the afternoon of June 3. It would make landfall as a ‘severe cyclonic storm’ with a wind pace of 100-110 kmh gusting to 120 kmh. Because the storm brewing within the Arabian Sea intensified right into a tropical cyclone, many consultants consider its landfall can be a rare-of-the-rarest occasion on the Maharashtra shoreline.
The cyclonic storm is presently situated 280 km west-southwest of Panjim (Goa), 430km south-southwest of Mumbai (Maharashtra) and 640 km south-southwest of Surat (Gujarat).
Dr Sunita Devi, India Meteorological Division‘s in-charge of cyclones, stated, “The cyclone will further intensify into a severe cyclonic storm in the next 12 hours.”
It would cross north Maharashtra and adjoining south Gujarat coast between Harihareshwar and Daman, near Alibag in Maharashtra’s Raigad district through the afternoon of June 3.
IMD Director Common Mrutyunjay Mohapatra on Monday stated that the cyclonic storm will have an effect on the coastal districts of Maharashtra, together with Mumbai, greater than Gujarat and neighbouring states.
The storm surge is anticipated to be one to 2 metres above the astronomical tide and may be very more likely to inundate low-lying areas of Mumbai, Thane and Raigad districts on the time of landfall.
In accordance with IMD’s Cyclone E-Atlas, no climate system has changed into a cyclone and made landfall alongside the Maharashtra coast throughout June. Cyclone E-Atlas has been monitoring tropical cyclones and depressions over the North Indian Ocean since 1891.
Echoing it, Roxy Mathew Koll, a local weather scientist on the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), stated, “The cyclone Nisarga is about to scrape around Mumbai on June 3. If that happens, it will be the first cyclone in the recorded history to hit the Maharashtra coast in June.”
One other IITM researcher stated it might be the “second cyclone” within the recorded historical past to hit the Maharashtra coast within the pre-monsoon season (April-June). “The only cyclone that hit the Maharashtra coast in the pre-monsoon season was in May 1961,” Vineet Kumar stated.
In accordance with the Nationwide Cyclone Threat Mitigation Venture, solely 25 per cent cyclones that develop within the Arabian Sea method the West Coast.
Senior Meteorologist Jason Nicholls stated, “only three cyclonic storms have made landfall over or near Mumbai since 1891, and all three occurred in October and November. The latest was Phyan in 2009.”
The variety of cyclones and extreme cyclones within the Arabian Sea has risen by practically 32 per cent within the final 5 years, in line with the IMD information.
The cyclonic storm is presently situated 280 km west-southwest of Panjim (Goa), 430 km south-southwest of Mumbai (Maharashtra) and 640 km south-southwest of Surat (Gujarat).
It would make landfall with a wind pace of 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph. The storm surge is anticipated to be one-two metres above the astronomical tide and is more likely to inundate low-lying areas of Mumbai, Thane and Raigad districts on the time of landfall.
Fishermen are warned to not enterprise into the ocean. 31 NDRF groups have additionally been deployed to hold out rescue operations. Widespread injury can be anticipated.
The final cyclone to hit Mumbai was cyclonic storm ‘Phyan’ on November 11, 2009. Nisarga is presently situated round 400 km from Mumbai as a deep despair.
Extra Associated Tales On Cyclone Nisarga:
Cyclone ‘Nisarga’: Storm exercise intensifies in Arabian Sea
Cyclone Nisarga: Alert For Maharashtra And Gujarat Coast